AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks

No Rory. No Rahm. Just the most beloved early-season golf tournament on the PGA Tour schedule, on perhaps the most spectacular course the United States has to offer.

That would be the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, played largely on a Pebble Beach Links layout jutting out into the Pacific Ocean. The top nine players in the world are all skipping this event, which means no Rory McIlroy (coming off a victory in the Dubai Desert Open) and no Jon Rahm (who had won two straight starts before his uncharacteristic final-round collapse at Torrey Pines last week). The top-ranked player in the field is No. 10 Matt Fitzpatrick, who is also the joint-favorite on golf betting sites with Jordan Spieth at +1000 (10/1).

Also back is defending champion Tom Hoge, an +1800 (18/1) wager on golf betting apps who beat Spieth by two shots last year. Spieth has an exceptional record in the tournament, with six top-10 finishes - more than anyone else in the field this week - in 10 starts on the Monterey Peninsula, among them a victory in 2017. Spieth’s average finish in the pro-am is 13.4, by far the best of any player in the field with more than one start in the event.

Fitzpatrick tied for sixth last season at Pebble, his best result in three career starts. World No. 11 Viktor Hovland, who hasn’t played since the year-opening Sentry Tournament of Champions, is the No. 3 odds choice at +1100 (11/1). Then there’s a drop-off to +1600 (16/1) option Maverick McNealy, who tied for seventh in the Sony Open in Hawaii and owns two top-fives at Pebble, best among them a runner-up result behind Daniel Berger in 2021.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Course Overview

Pebble Beach gets all the glory, and rightly so, but it’s just one of three layouts the pros and amateurs will play this weekend. Competitors on Thursday, Friday and Saturday will rotate through 6,971-yard, par-72 Pebble Beach, 7,041-yard, par-72 Spyglass Hill, and the 6,657-yard, par-71 Shore Course at Monterey Peninsula Country Club. Those who make the cut will return to Pebble Beach for Sunday’s final round.

Although it was initially designed by amateur golfers Jack Neville and Arthur Grant, Pebble Beach has undergone numerous revisions since its opening in 1919, with Jack Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer, and Augusta National architect Alister MacKenzie among those with a hand in shaping the course we see today. Pebble’s most difficult shot might be the approach to the par-4 eighth, which requires a forced carry over a vast canyon dropping down into the Pacific. The ocean also comes into play on approaches to the par-5 sixth, par-3 seventh and par-3 17th.

With relatively small putting surfaces and likely lots of wind, Pebble Beach is a course not for big hitters, but for deft iron players who can hold the ball on greens regardless of the conditions. Spyglass Hill rambles largely through the forest and forces players to deal with sloping fairways and elevated greens. The Shore Course incorporates the best of both inland and oceanfront characteristics thanks to an extensive 2004 renovation by the late, great architect Mike Strantz.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Previous Winners

2022: Tom Hoge

2021: Daniel Berger

2020: Nick Taylor

2019: Phil Mickelson

2018: Ted Potter Jr.

2017: Jordan Spieth

2016: Vaughn Taylor

2015: Brandt Snedeker

2014: Jimmy Walker

2013: Brandt Snedeker

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Angles

Indeed, Spieth’s track record at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am can be tough to resist. But there also may be reasons to be wary of the American, given that he missed the cut in his most recent start (in the Sony Open in Hawaii) and he’s won exactly once (at Hilton Head) over the past 21 months. Fitzpatrick, meanwhile, has top-10s in a pair of recent limited-field events, and has shown good form at Pebble Beach both in the pro-am and in the 2019 U.S. Open.

Hoge, aiming to become the event’s first repeat champion since Dustin Johnson in 2009-10, has finished deep in the field in his past two starts. A more tempting option on betting sites might be +2000 (20/1) wager Seamus Power, who finished T9 last season in the pro-am and has been top-five or better in three of his last five starts. And while +2200 (22/1) option Justin Rose owns a T6 at Pebble from 2017 and a T3 in the most recent U.S. Open there, he closed last season’s pro-am with a final-round 78 and is looking for his first victory in three years.

Alternatives available at bigger odds on USA sports betting sites could include +5000 (50/1) option Nick Taylor, who won at Pebble Beach in 2020, shot four consecutive 69s to finish T14 there last year, and shot a 62 on Saturday at the Sony Open in Hawaii, where he placed T7. Russell Knox, a Scot who should know his way around a windswept oceanside course, finished T7 in 2021 and is a +6600 (66/1) choice to win this week. And +7000 (70/1) option Troy Merritt has gone T4, T16, T25 and T8 over his past four starts at Pebble. 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Predictions

Maverick McNealy to Win, +1600 (16/1): Talk about a player ready to break through - McNealy owns five top-18 finishes in his last seven starts, capped by that T7 at the Sony. Pebble Beach, where he was T2 in 2021 and T5 in 2020, is one of his best events. And then there’s this: “I tend to play well closer to home,” said the Stanford, Calif., native who once caddied for his dad in the pro-am.

Jordan Spieth Top-5, +275 (11/4): While Spieth hasn’t won much over the past two years, his average performance has clearly leveled up from the days when putting woes trapped him deep in the field. The three-time major champion can easily contend on any given week, and his past performance at Pebble merits a place in the wagering profile for this week.

Seamus Power Top-10, +260 (13/5): Power opened with back-to-back 64s last year, and led by five shots after the second round. While he couldn’t hold on, that experience plus the excellent form he’s shown over the past four months could well make the Irishman a contender on the Monterey Peninsula this weekend.

How to Watch The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Thursday and Friday, Golf Channel, 3-6 p.m. EST; Saturday, Golf Channel, 1-3 p.m. and CBS 3-7 p.m.; Sunday, Golf Channel 1-3 p.m. and CBS 3-6:30 p.m.